Obama's odds to win re-election on Intrade.com have been steadily rising since hitting their lows in the mid-40s last September.  Last week alone, the odds rose from 54% to 56.6%. 

We've overlaid the historical Intrade.com odds for Obama to win re-election on a chart of the S&P 500 going back to 2010.  As shown, the lows in Obama's re-election odds came at the exact same time that the stock market made its low last year.  Rest assured that the Obama team is watching the stock market just as closely as any poll out there as the 2012 election looms.

 

 

 

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