Out of Order
Euro Pacific Capital
By Peter Schiff
June 14, 2012
While
JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon has been credited for a confident and feisty
performance today in front of Congress, he was careful to not criticize
their efforts thus far to regulate the financial services industry.
Given that JP Morgan has been on the receiving end of federal bailouts,
this should not be surprising. Last week I showed no such reluctance
when I testified in front of the Congressional House Subcommittee on
Insurance, Housing and Community Opportunity. The fact that my firm is
unlikely ever to receive a dime from government was undeniably
liberating in that regard.
I
was invited to testify about the Federal Housing Administration's (FHA)
policy in the apartment lending market. Although this was a fairly
narrow issue, I told the congressmen the same thing I did last year when
I was invited by a different subcommittee to testify about job
creation: government programs don't solve problems, they just create new
ones. While I thank the Committee for inviting me, I believe the congressmen may have gotten more than they bargained for. I
can apologize for shaking up what would have otherwise been a sleepy
and forgettable proceeding, but I won't apologize for trying to inject
respect for the Constitution and free market capitalism into a venue
that has been doing its best to destroy both.
The
subcommittee was considering whether to expand the activity of the FHA
to insure loans for multi-family (apartment) buildings. The mechanism to
achieve this was to extend FHA guarantees to pools of collateralized
mortgages backed by multi-family residential housing units. In other
words, Congress wanted to replicate the very dynamic that helped create
the bubble in single family housing, which ushered in the financial
crisis of 2008, the great recession, and left taxpayers on the hook
after the bubble burst. As one of the few people who warned about the
dangers of federally subsidized mortgages for single-family homes, I
felt particularly qualified to warn Congress about repeating its
error. At the risk of sounding egotistical, as a result of my
unapologetic testimony the hearing turned into high drama. Entertainment
value aside, the resulting event starkly illustrated some of the dense
cobwebs that hang over the legislative process.
I
have absolutely no objection to the idea that a healthy rental housing
market is needed. However, I believe that market forces are sufficient
by themselves to create it. The average American family now only has
$7,000 worth of savings, which would not be nearly enough to afford a
20% down payment on the average American house. This means that most
Americans should be renters and not owners.
Normally,
these simple facts would attract investment capital to build affordable
rental properties. However, these forces have been blunted by Federal
tax and housing policies that have exaggerated the economic benefits of
home ownership and have drawn excessive amounts of investment capital
into that sector. To correct the distortions, the Subcommittee was
considering, you guessed it, more distortive regulations. It never
occurred to them to simply scale back the original regulations that are
the root of the problem.
Critics
of the free market argue that investors will ignore the needs of the
poor. But Wal-Mart became stunningly successful by specifically
targeting low to moderate income consumers. This success came without
government guarantees or incentives.
Through
a series of guarantees, loan assistance, and tax advantages, ironically
it is the government that is ignoring the needs of the poor by
encouraging them to buy over-priced homes. As a result they become
trapped in perpetual poverty, as all of their disposable income is
consumed by mortgage payments, property taxes, insurance, maintenance,
etc. It's much better to get out of poverty first, then buy a house when
one can actually afford it.
The
panel of eight witnesses, of which I was a part, was composed largely
of representatives of the many interest groups who benefit from FHA
multi-family loans, including home builders, mortgage bankers, state
housing regulators, and tenants groups. I came to represent the
interests of the common U.S. taxpayer who will have to make good any
liabilities incurred by the Federal Government and who will have to live
with the consequences of distortive government policies (as we have
been doing so conspicuously in recent years). It was clear from my
heated exchanges with the legislators that they were not used to hearing
from this particular constituency.
My
other co-panelists had two missions: curry favor with the congressmen
and give them the ammunition they need to vote for a policy that they
likely want to support from the start. I wanted to let them know that,
despite the claims to the contrary, all loan guarantees expose taxpayers
to risk and that the housing market would be healthier if the
government left it alone. I brought to the table the frustrations of the
American taxpayer who has grown weary of government's urge to
micromanage our economy and to fund their experimentation with our
dollars.
When
taking heat from these surprised congressmen, I couldn't help but think
back to the reaction I received when I went down to the Occupy Wall
Street protest last year. Both venues were dominated by people who knew
very little about how capitalism actually works or how the United States
rose to economic dominance in the first place. One congressman stated his belief that a functioning home market did not exist before the FHA came into existence in the 1930's.
While such ignorance can be excused from scruffy protestors, we should
expect more from our elected officials. The following exchanges
illustrate that point:
Republican Congressman Robert Hurt expressed some appreciation of my economic positions,
but even he seemed unable to grasp that my solution was not more
regulation. Congress is addicted to the allure of doing "something."
Trusting free people to make rational choices is not considered
"something." They are addicted to the belief that if there is a problem,
there must be a legislative solution. I repeatedly told the congressman
that the best thing for government to do would be to "get out of the
way," and that the market could fashion a solution on its own. But his
frustration in not hearing specific legislative proposals meant that I
might as well have been speaking Swahili.
Even more troubling was the discussion I had with two democratic congressmen. Emanuel Cleaver, II, failed to grasp how government loan guarantees create unintended and often harmful consequences. Perhaps hoping to undercut my credibility by eliciting my opposition to
federally subsidized flood insurance (a program that he likely believes
to be beyond controversy), I explained how those guarantees cost
society money by eliminating barriers that would normally prevent people
from living in potentially dangerous flood zones. The congressman gave
no indication that he ever considered these arguments. Brad Sherman then tried to explain that since Congress would always bail out homeowners who had been harmed by "front page disasters," any policy that results
in sharing the pain with private insurers should be considered prudent. I
guess the congressman has never, nor will ever, consider a policy that
involves short term political risk for the sake of long term economic
health. In the end, that lack of political courage is a far bigger
problem.
Credit in the United States is a limited commodity. Money loaned for one purpose is then unavailable for other purposes. Through its effort to take the risks out of home lending, the FHA has directed more credit into the real estate market than would have otherwise been the case. That means these funds are not available for other enterprises which may have put the capital to work in areas that may be more needed in the economy. I tried to convince the congressmen that siphoning even more money into the housing market is not the answer. They may not have listened, but I hope they got the sense that the political winds are blowing hard on their front door.
(c) Euro Pacific Capital

