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Advisor Perspectives
Insights into the world of high- and ultra-high net worth investing
May 13, 2008- Vol 2, Issue 20
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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Charley Ellis is the founder of Greenwich Associates and author Winning the Loser's Game, a classic and timeless book on asset allocation.  Charley provides his thoughts on asset allocation, active management, and how advisors should deal with the challenges of the credit crisis.

Our article last week, What Stage of the Sub-Prime Crisis Are We In?, drew a response from a reader, and we respond by providing some additional data justifying our belief that we are still in the early stages of this crisis.  We also respond to a story that appeared in the New York Times on the same subject.

The debate over whether active managers can be identified in advance, and the analogy to coin flipping exercises, continues.  This week's installment features an article by Ken Kam of Marketocracy, who explains how his firm has created a successful mutual fund based on the premise that skillful active managers can be identified.

Bob Jaeger, Senior Market Strategist with BNY Mellon, provides us with an article speaking to the same question of whether advisors can identify skillful active managers.  Bob's article addresses a range of topics, including defining the true meaning of skill, and he touches on the subject of coin flipping exercises as well.

Lastly, we look at changes in asset allocation across the Advisor Perspectives universe, and show how advisors have changed allocations over the last 12 weeks, as well as more generally over the last year.

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Our Interview with Charley Ellis

Charley Ellis serves on the investment boards of Yale University and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, and is widely recognized as a leading authority on asset allocation.  Charley provides his views on whether "this time is different," with respect to the sub-prime crisis, and whether advisors should shift asset allocations as a result.

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Follow up: What Stage of the Sub-Prime Crisis Are We In?

The New York Times ran a story contending that very few homeowners are walking away from their homes, and we expose the weakness in their logic.  We also respond to a reader's letter questioning the interpretation of some of the data.

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Coin Flipping and the Search for Alpha

Ken Kam provides the evidence that skillful active managers can be identified in advance.  In the latest installment of our debate on this topic, Ken explains how his mutual fund makes investments based on the premise that skill can be identified, and provides links demonstrating that he has been able to produce alpha through his efforts.

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The Elusiveness of Investment Skill

Guest Contributor Bob Jaeger of BNY Mellon explores the questions of what "skill" really means in the context of skillful active management, and examines analogies in the world of physics and coin flipping exercises.  Bob believes skill does exist, but that its complex nature makes it very hard to identify and use in a predictive framework.

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Changes in Asset Allocation

Advisors have shifted assets out of fixed income and into cash, and have increased cash positions significantly over the last year, since the beginning of the sub-prime crisis.  We review all changes in asset allocation across the Advisor Perspectives universe over the last 12 weeks.

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8 New Commentaries Available

Our Advisor Market Commentaries section continues to grow, with 8 new commentaries added in the last week.  We are still offering a free book for new submissions.

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