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Advisor Perspectives
Insights into the world of high- and ultra-high net worth investing
June 17, 2008- Vol 2, Issue 25
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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Dick Vodra, a Virginia-based advisor and energy policy expert, has a straightforward explanation for increases in oil prices.  As an advocate of Peak Oil, he believes the global supply of oil is now in decline, and market imbalances have driven up the price.  Vodra explains his views and his asset allocation model to position for a new energy paradigm.

Many believe the same supply/demand imbalances that plague the oil markets are also driving up the price of food.  We speak with Jeff Auxier, a farmer and portfolio manager, review a new book, The End of Food, and look at the long term forecast for agricultural commodities.

Two letters to the Editor reflect on recent articles.  The first looks at the process advisors use to interview active managers to separate "skill" from "luck."  The second digs into some of the numbers behind our article on the cost of active investing.

We occasionally make mistakes, and we note a couple of corrections to recent articles.

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Peak Oil and the Long Term  Asset Allocation Implications

Peak Oil adherents believe we have passed the point of peak oil supply on a global basis and, for them, the increase in oil prices is a natural byproduct of demand outstripping supply.  Dick Vodra, an expert on the subject, looks at the long term forecast and how he is structuring his clients' portfolios to benefit from inevitable shifts in global commerce.

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Agriculture: Global Trends and Investment Implications

Jeff Auxier has a unique knowledge of agricultural markets, managing a $400 million fund and running his own farm, where he raises cattle and grows hazelnuts.  We speak with Auxier about the trends in food prices, and we review a new book on the subject - The End of Food.

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Letter to the Editor: Evaluating Active Managers

A reader responds to John Minahan's article last week, Evaluating Active Managers: The Role of Belief Systems, and discusses his process for interviewing managers.

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Letters to the Editor:  Reactions to our Interview with Ken French

A reader questions Ken French's calculations, believing that the cost of active management should be higher than 67 basis points, based on the fees, including loads, charged by active mutual funds.  We provide an answer.

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Corrections

We all make mistakes, and this is our opportunity to own up to two of our recent ones.  Several weeks ago we ran an article on collectibles - What do License Plates and Lafites Have in Common?.  An astute reader pointed out that Rehoboth Beach is in Delaware, not Maryland, so we apologize to the residents of both states.  Our article last week, The Great Oil Price Debate, incorrectly stated the global production of oil.  The correct number is 87 million barrels per day.

Both articles have been corrected.
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