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Advisor Perspectives
Insights into the world of high- and ultra-high net worth investing

July 15, 2008- Vol 2, Issue 29

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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IndyMac and Countrywide may be gone, but they are not forgotten.  Robert Pardes looks at the demise of these once leading institutions, the implications for the GSEs, and the macro impact on the credit markets.

Along with The Collaborative, we conducted a survey in May to identify the most pressing system needs for wealth managers.  Our results show that document management, CRM, and portfolio management rank as the top three issues facing the industry.

Advisors routinely employ
Monte Carlo and other numerical simulation techniques to solve a range of problems.  Dan di Bartolomeo of Northfield Analytics explains the limitations of these methods and outlines other ways wealth managers can analyze and model complex problems.

Immigration is one of many key issues in the upcoming Presidential election.  We look at how immigration affects the economy, from the perspective of employment, wage growth, and other factors affecting native-born workers.

The target date industry has some serious problems, according to a recently released study by Target Date Analytics.  We explain how the current array of target date funds are too aggressive, not sufficiently diversified, and utilize active managers that fail to add value.

We highlight some recent Market Commentaries.   John Mauldin's piece argues that the ultimate price tag on the credit crisis may be $1.6 trillion, and Charles Lieberman's piece provides the counter-argument.  Doug MacKay of Broadleaf Partners discusses some JP Morgan research on the prognosis for bear markets.

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IndyMac's Failure and the GSE Bailout: An Epitaph and Prognosis


With the failure of IndyMac Bank on the heels of the fire sale of its big sister, Countrywide, it seems fitting to reflect on the market impact these companies have had industry wide and on homeowners across the nation.  Robert Pardes explains how these institutions were responsible for advances in the credit markets that made home ownership affordable for millions of families, and what this means for the future.

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Survey Results:  Most Pressing Needs for Wealth Managers


The Collaborative and Advisors Perspectives surveyed investment advisors and wealth managers in May 2008. Our results show that document management, customer relationship management and portfolio management rank as the top three most problematic system areas, while billing and trading are the least worrisome.

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The How, Why, and Why Not of "What If?"


Numerical methods, such as
Monte Carlo simulation, are growing in popularity, but also carry a big limitation:  Our conception of "what if?" is wholly dependent on experience to date.  We can't simulate events we haven't considered.  Dan di Bartolomeo explains these limitations and how they can be overcome.

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The Economics of Immigration


Over the past decade, immigrants have accounted for half of the growth in the labor market, and now make up 15% of the total work force. With more immigrants entering the labor market, there is no question that the economy is affected.  We look at exactly how much immigration affects the economy.

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New Study Finds Target Date Industry  Has Serious Shortcomings


As a whole, target date funds fail to shift assets into safer (fixed income) securities as the target date approaches, fail to adequately diversify portfolios, and - which will be no surprise to many - those that are actively managed fail to outperform passive benchmarks.  We look at a new study of the target date industry.

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Highlights from Advisor Market Commentaries


We highlight several recent submissions to Advisor Market Commentaries:

John Mauldin discusses research showing that the ultimate price tag for the credit crisis will approach $1.6 trillion.

Read the Commentary

Dr. Charles Lieberman, of Advisors Capital Management, makes the counter-argument, and believes hedge funds and media hype have overstated the $1+ trillion credit crisis.

Read the Commentary

Doug MacKay of Broadleaf Partners discusses JP Morgan research on the prognosis for bear markets.

Read the Commentary

 

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