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Advisor Perspectives
Insights into the world of high- and ultra-high net worth investing

May 5, 2009- Vol 3, Issue 18

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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The Collaborative


In the long-term performance race against inflation, stocks are the hands-down winner, outpacing inflation 9.7% to 3.0% since 1926.  But that history is characterized predominantly by modest inflation, with one big exception - the 1970s, when double-digit inflation contributed to a bear market.  We look at new research showing the effectiveness of different asset classes as inflation hedges, and Zvi Bodie explains the implications for retirement portfolios.

We touched a few nerves last week with our critique of Standard and Poor's SPIVA study, where we raised doubts about S&P's claim that passive management does better in bull markets than in bear markets.  We publish letters from two of our more vocal critics, along with our response.

Rather than asking for donations online, the Obama campaign's on-line advertising had the single-minded objective to get people to sign up for their email list, agreeing to receive more information. As Dan Richards explains, the reason for this was quite simple - obtaining an email address and the owner's agreement to receive future communication about the campaign was vastly more valuable than a single donation.
 

More articles below...

American Century Investments

Hawaii-based advisor John Robinson is the author of several articles on safe withdrawal rates, and he reviews our recent article, A Safer Four Percent Withdrawal RuleWe respond to Robinson's critique.

In this guest contribution, Robert Pardes discusses the "intellectual chasm" - a professional, cultural and practical divide that has perpetuated a universal failure to fairly balance risk and reward for the benefit of the economy at large.  Across the public and private sectors, this chasm lies at the root of the current financial crisis.

Advisors looking to creatively and inexpensively increase visibility can use locally-oriented search engine optimization (SEO) for their web sites and blogs.  Mark Forman, in this guest contribution, offers three tips for successful SEO.

Lastly, we highlight submissions to Advisor Market Commentaries.

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In theory, equities should perform well during inflation.  They represent real assets, and as the prices of these assets rise, so should equity prices.  In this case, though, history and theory are at odds.  We speak with retirement expert Zvi Bodie about new research on the effectiveness of different asset classes as inflation hedges.

Defending Against Inflation: A New Look across Asset Classes

 

Active versus Passive: Readers Respond


One reader claims our critique of S&P's SPIVA study ignores the more important question of whether skillful managers can be identified in advance, and another objects to our criticisms of S&P's methodology.  We respond to both readers.

Active versus Passive: Readers Respond

 

A Prospecting Tip from Barack Obama

 

The ultimate objective for advisors hasn't changed - it's to secure a face-to-face meeting with a qualified and interested prospect. But advisors need to fundamentally rethink how to make that meeting happen. More and more, you will need to cultivate and nurture prospects by being more patient and introducing upfront value.

A Prospecting Tip from Barack Obama

 

A Critique of Our Article "A Safer Four Percent Withdrawal Rule"

 
John Robinson has written extensively on the subject of safe withdrawal rules, and he raises a series of criticisms of our article on this topic, including our methodology for pricing TIPS and the default risk in the municipal bond market.  We respond to each of the points raised by Mr. Robinson.

A Critique of Our Article "A Safer Four Percent Withdrawal Rule"

 

Reform and the Intellectual Chasm


With a mandate to implement change, Robert Pardes says we must be relentless in our pursuit for new ideas. Acknowledging the intellectual chasm is essential to inspire the reform that can move
America past this crisis into a new era of prosperity and influence.

Reform and the Intellectual Chasm

 

Three Tips for Going Local with Search Engine Optimization


If your local branch of the public library had a large portion of books with plain, white spines lacking titles or author names, you'd likely ignore those books in favor of the ones whose titles or authors you could read easily on the spine. Your website and blog postings must be easy for search engines to index-in the way that you want them to be indexed. That's the essence of Search Engine Optimization.

Three Tips for Going Local with Search Engine Optimization

 

Highlights from Advisor Market Commentaries

 
As Nouriel Roubini notes, a few years back, before this crisis erupted, several economists were concerned about the sustainability of the large global imbalances fueled by the so-called Bretton Woods 2 (BW2) system. These economists recognized in the tendency of emerging (export-led) economies to manage their exchange rate systems the origin of large trade and current account surpluses that, via large foreign reserve accumulation, were financing the mirror of those surpluses, namely the large
U.S. trade and current account deficits.

Read the commentary

John Mauldin casts doubt on claims that the recession is ending, and provides an enlightening look at recent data purporting to show signs of increased consumer spending.  Mauldin also looks at whether there is any substance to the claim "sell in May and go away" - as you read this section, though, ask yourself whether there is any "causation" behind the "correlation."

Read the commentary

 

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