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star logoJuly 20, 2010 - Vol 4, Issue 29


Envestnet

Dear Reader,

The latest book from Martin Leibowitz, one of the most respected thinkers in the investment industry, attempts to justify the endowment model of investing.  As Michael Edesess writes in this review, Leibowitz's defense is highly problematic, and that should concern any advisor utilizing a Yale-like strategy.

Northern Trust's chief economist, Paul Kasriel, forecasts that interest rates will remain low for the remainder of 2010.  Investors are looking for guidance on how they should best position their cash and fixed income portfolios to take this environment into consideration, and should consider the tradeoff between liquidity and yield.  We thank Northern Trust for their sponsorship.

The Wharton School's Jeremy Siegel remains an outspoken proponent of stocks for the long run, as he demonstrates in this interview with Dan Richards.  Siegel explains why equity investors should not be deterred by sour economic forecasts or by signals of apparent overvaluation based on Shiller P/E ratios.  We also provide a video of the interview.

After a brief review of known shortcomings of common fund evaluation methodologies, Mike Ervolini introduces a new approach based upon analytics that his firm has developed.  Rather than relying on non-predictive metrics such as past performance, his approach looks at investment processes in relation to deeper skills that managers possess regarding buying, selling, and position-sizing.

While the unique aspects of Build America Bonds (BABs) and recent Treasury Department actions are meaningful, the risks to investors have been over-emphasized.  BABs remain an attractive vehicle for investors and issuers, and the market for them is likely to grow.

A recent conversation between Dan Ricahrds and an advisor drove home how easy it is to cross wires when communicating with existing and prospective clients.  That miscommunication almost cost the advisor a million-dollar account.

Kristen Luke
provides the next two installments of her series on low-budget marketing for startup RIA firms.  She discusses how to create your marketing collateral and how to establish yourself as an expert in your market niche.

In a letter to the editor, a reader responds to several recent articles which have addressed the fiduciary standard for advisors.

Lastly, we highlight submissions to Market Commentaries.

We welcome guest submissions from our readers.  For more information, here are our guidelines.

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star logoMartin Leibowitz' Failed Defense of the Endowment Model

"The book is a lengthy and repetitious exposition of a worthless, fraudulent pseudoscience," writes Michael Edesess.

Martin Leibowitz' Failed Defense of the Endowment Model


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star logoConsiderations for Investing in a Low Interest-Rate Environment

Remember when you couldn't get your clients to think about a cash allocation in their investment portfolio?  Since the market decline of 2008, skittish clients want to be assured they have sufficient downside protection.  Finding liquidity and income in these turbulent markets can be challenging for advisors.

Considerations for Investing in a Low Interest-Rate Environment


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star logoJeremy Siegel on Why Stocks are Undervalued

"When I look at earnings going forward on the S&P 500, for instance projections for 2010 and 2011, we are looking at either 13-times earnings this year or 11-times next year's earnings," says Jeremy Siegel.  "In this interest rate environment, that is unprecedented and, again, demonstrates around a 25% or 30% undervaluation in the market."

Jeremy Siegel on Why Stocks are Undervalued (transcript)
Jeremy Siegel on Why Stocks are Undervalued (video)

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star logoBeyond The Stars: Improving Active Fund Selection Based On Manager Skill

A new framework for considering manager skill now exists that is based on analyzing decisions rather than holdings. It begins by identifying every buy, sell and sizing decision within a fund's history.

Beyond The Stars: Improving Active Fund Selection Based On Manager Skill


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star logoThe Opportunity in Build America Bonds

The overwhelming amount of issuance since these bonds' inception points directly at the success of this program in achieving the goals intended by its creation: promoting economic and employment growth while improving municipal issuers' access to the credit markets.

The Opportunity in Build America Bonds

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star logoLessons from a $1 Million Misunderstanding

You can never eliminate the chances of miscommunication - but you can reduce them.  One way to do that is to learn from what happened to this advisor.

Lessons from a $1 Million Misunderstanding

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star logoParts 4 and 5 of a Marketing Guide for RIAs

Kristen Luke provides the next two installments of her series on low-budget marketing for startup RIA firms.  She discussed how to create marketing collateral and how to become an expert in your market niche.

A Marketing Guide for RIAs: Part 4 - Create Marketing Collateral
A Marketing Guide for RIAs: Part 5 - Become an Expert

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star logoLetter to the Editor

A reader responds to several recent articles which have addressed the fiduciary standard for advisors.

Letter to the Editor


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star logoHighlights from Market Commentaries

 


Doug Short provides charts of the S&P Composite since 1929 adjusted for real price and real total return. As the charts show, for the past 21 months, the secular bear market that began in 2000 has substantially underperformed the equivalent timeframe during the Great Depression.

Total Return or Total Disappointment? by Doug Short of Doug Short



This letter contains a special feature by George Magnus, senior economic advisor at UBS Investment Bank, on the coming negative change in global demographics. The world population is aging rapidly and the proportion of retired to working people is rising sharply. While these are slow-moving forces compared to, say, banking crises, they are powerful and inexorable trends that cannot be 'fixed.' Rather, we, and governments, must adjust to them, and investors must pay attention to their complex investment implications.

Demographics, Destiny and Equity Markets by George Magnus of Boeckh Investment Letter



The relative abundance of physical and educational capital has been a driver of U.S. prosperity for generations, and is the main reason why American workers earn more than their counterparts in the developing world. Neither advantage in capital, however, is intrinsic to American workers, and it will be impossible to prevent a long-term convergence of U.S. wages toward those of developing countries unless the U.S. efficiently allocates its resources to productive investment and educational quality.

Misallocating Funds by John P. Hussman of Hussman Funds

 

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